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2030年后越南的中等强国目标及外交远景

On the Middle-ranking Power Goals and Diplomatic Vision of Vietnam after 2030

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【作者】 黎庭静左荣全

【Author】 Lê ?ì nh T? nh;

【机构】 越南外交学院南海院

【摘要】 近年来,越南革新开放进一步深入,经济呈加速发展态势,累积起来的综合国力也随之上升,越南在地区和国际舞台上更趋活跃。现在是否已经到了重新定位越南国际地位和角色的时候?不同的人可能有不同回答,但肯定的回答居多则是毋庸置疑的。到底该怎么重新定位越南的国力?越南学者中提及最多的定位方式是"中等强国"。其中,以越南外交学院南海院院长黎庭静博士2018年6月在《国际研究》杂志上发表的《2030年后越南的中等强国目标及外交远景》一文最为详实和客观,比较全面地回答了上述疑问。该文主要包括理论基础、实践经验和2030年后越南外交的相关问题及建议三部分。前2部分探讨国际上中等强国的概念及实践经验,行文中交替使用"中等强国"和"中等国家"两个概念,"中等国家"是一个更宽泛也更中性的概念,"中等强国"范围要更小、敏感度更高一些,越南的目标定位不是平常的中等国家,而是中等强国。"中等强国不是正式称谓,而只具有对各种外交活动的一种内部启发作用"。第三部分阐述了为什么将时间点选在2030年,并从实力—能力、外交行为/应对方式—国际影响、越南本色—品牌三个方面说明届时越南完全具备实现中等强国目标的条件。文章最后就实现中等强国目标后外交、战略等相关领域面临的挑战提出了三方面的建议。结论是越南将充分汇聚各种基本条件(能力、行为、本色),以便可以提出成为中等强国的目标,并在2030年后像一个中等强国那样发挥作用。

【Abstract】 With deepened innovation, Vietnam’s development has been accelerated and comprehensive national strength also increased. Vietnam has become more active in the regional and international arenas. Is it time to re-orientate Vietnam’s international status and role? Different people may have different answers, but the majority of affirmative answers are beyond doubt. How to reposition Vietnam’s national strength? The method most frequently mentioned among Vietnamese scholars is "middleranking power". Among them, Dr. Lê ?ình T?nh, Dean of the Nanhai Institute of Vietnamese Foreign Affairs College, published the article " M?c tiêu c??ng qu?c t?m trung và vi?n c?nh ngo?i giao Vi?t Nam sau n?m 2030" in the Nghiên c?u Qu?c t? in June 2018, which answers the above questions comprehensively. This paper includes three parts: theoretical basis, practical experience and related issues and suggestions on Vietnam’s diplomacy after 2030. The first two sections explore the concept and practical experience of the middle-ranking power in the world. The two concepts of "middle-ranking power" and "medium-sized state" are used interchangeably in the text. The concept of "medium-sized state" is a broader and more neutral one. Vietnam’s diplomatic goal isn’t to be an ordinary medium-sized country, but to be a middleranking power. "A middle-ranking power is not a formal title, but only has an internal inspiration for various diplomatic activities." The third part explains why the time is chosen in 2030. At the end, the author puts forward three suggestions on the challenges faced by diplomacy, strategy and other related fields after realizing the goal of a middle-ranking power. The conclusion is that Vietnam will bring together all kinds of basic conditions(ability, behavior, iddentity), so that it can be a middle-ranking power and act as a middle-ranking power after 2030.

【关键词】 越南外交国际一体化中等强国目标远景
【Key words】 VietnamDiplomatic StrategyMiddle-ranking PowerTargetVision
  • 【文献出处】 南亚东南亚研究 ,South and Southeast Asian Studies , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年03期
  • 【分类号】D833.3
  • 【下载频次】100
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